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Iran just converted every neutral and semi-neutral state in the Gulf into a potential co-belligerent. Every nation whose airspace was violated, whose civilians were killed, whose sovereignty was breached now has legal and political justification to join whatever coalition forms next.
And the damage tells the real story. One civilian dead from debris. Intercepts across four countries. No confirmed destruction of any US military asset. No reported American casualties among 40,000 troops in theater. Iran fired at the entire Gulf and the Gulf caught almost everything.
Compare this to what Israel did to Tehran this morning. Precision strikes on the IRGC Intelligence Directorate. Explosions near the Supreme Leader’s office. Three detonations in central Tehran confirmed by Iranian state media itself.
One side hit what it aimed at. The other side hit one civilian with debris.
This is the asymmetry that will define the next 72 hours. Iran demonstrated intent to strike everywhere and capability to hit almost nothing. The Gulf states demonstrated they can defend themselves. And now those states must decide whether the country that just fired ballistic missiles across their borders gets to do it again.
They will not let it happen again.
Watch for the joint statement. Watch for airspace coordination between Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Manama, and Kuwait City. Watch for the coalition that Iran just built against itself with a single salvo.
Iran did not retaliate against Israel this morning. Iran gave every country in the Middle East a reason to retaliate against Iran.
https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2027696194642968626
Shaun Maguire @shaunmmaguire - When I was in the DoD, one of the things I worked on was understanding global terrorist financing
Every scheme somehow involved Iran and drugs in America
Delete the Islamic Regime and so many problems will simmer down:
- drug supply in America
- disinfo bots
- terror proxies
>>/24326294/ pb
https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/2027774556577104170
Shawn G. Chittle @ShawnChittle - The movie rattled President Ronald Reagan so much at Camp David, the following Monday, Reagan met with his national security team and asked a simple, blunt question: "Could something like this really happen?"
General John Vessey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, came back a week later with an answer: "Mr. President, the problem is much worse than you think."
Reagan signed NSDD-145 (National Policy on Telecommunications and Automated Information Systems Security) in September 1984. It gave the NSA (National Security Agency) the power to secure not just military computers, but also civilian government systems and even some private sector databases that held sensitive info.
While the Directive was the immediate "EO-style" response, the momentum from the WarGames scare also helped pass the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1984/1986.
This was the first major federal legislation to make "hacking" a specific crime.
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