>>/54632/
cont.

Says EU economy won't recover.
Germany declared the end of the welfare state, but they have no idea how to solve the problem.
Consecutive French governments collapsing, even today - literally today https://www.politico.eu/article/france-francois-bayrou-no-confidence-vote-live-updates/
V4 returns, both Czechs and Poles seems willing to cooperate again.
Says the EU and Russia are in a financing race: they compete which one can finance the war. Russia gets weakened, but we are getting broken.

Ukraine is getting partitioned. Right now. Ukraine was a buffer zone between the West and Russia. Everyone had 50-50 influence. This was the situation until the war started. 
Now Westerners talk about security guarantees - in reality this means paritioning. Westerners already accepted that a Russian zone exists. This was the first step. The debate is how large this zone is - Crimea or 1-6 oblasts - but they don't argue that it does not exist. They debate how wide should be the second zone: the De-Militarized one. The third will be the Western zone - the one of the Westerners, which we still can't say anything sure about - beyond that they want to create it.

Europe's future.
In 2008 the world's production: 23% US, 25% EU. 2024-25: 27% US, 17% EU. He blames this on the incompetent EU leadership.
EU is heading to fregmentation. In the future we'll see the era of EU as the era of Europe's decline and becoming insignificant.
When the EU was created these were the goals:
- the EU should be a factor in global politics and global economy
- build the greatest free trade zone in the world, from Lisbon to Vladivostok, inlcuding UK, Balkans, Turkey, Russia, Caucasus he criticizes the EU a bit that they pushed Russia to China and says that the Chinese and Russian economies aren't competitive but complement each other - frankly the Russian could have complemented Europe...
Why this plan failed?
Simple:
The EU wasn't EU 30 years ago. It was the Common Market (ECM/EEC). Then they decided to create a market and political union out of this. The tool was the Euro(€). If we have common market we can have common money. If we have common money we can have common budget. If we have common budget then we will have a common state. The United States of Europe. This failed at the common budget step.
Next EU budget cycle is 2028-2035. He says if they'll be able to accept the budget (questionable) this will be the last budget. If things continue as is. If continue, the Eurozone will break apart.
There is a way out, not impossible.
But the EU has to be reorganized. He presents the "Concentric Europe" again, I already wrote it here:  >>/54488/